Adam Boehrer Pacific Sotheby's International Realty

Where It Stands

Where Dana Point stands.

Single-family closings from the MLS, plus a city-wide snapshot across all residential.

Dana Point · Pace, Supply and Price

  • 173

    Expected Market Time

    Days to sell the current supply, city-wide, as of October 1. Was 114 days a year ago.

  • 3.5

    Months of Supply

    Single-family, September. Was 3.9 months a year ago, and up from 3.1 in August.

  • $2.94M

    Median Sales Price

    Single-family, September. The trailing three months ran $2.07M, $2.28M, $2.94M. At roughly 22 closings a month, the median tracks transaction mix as much as value.

Dana Point All Residential · October 2026 Snapshot

  • 33%

    Listings with a Price Cut

    Up from 28% at the start of August. Second lowest in this peer set, behind Newport Coast.

  • 98.1%

    Sale-to-List, Under $5M

    26 of September's 30 closings. The four above $5M closed at 96.9%.

  • +116%

    10-Year Home Value Growth

    Zillow index through August. Just behind San Clemente's +118%.

Sources: California Regional MLS via InfoSparks (September 2026 single-family closings) and Pacific Sotheby's October 2026 Market Report (October 1 snapshot, September 2026 closings, August 2026 Zillow ten-year growth).

What It Means

Demand cooled faster than supply, and the clock stretched.

Expected market time is the number I watch, because it counts the homes still sitting rather than only the ones that sold. I set out the full case for it on the San Clemente page. A year ago Dana Point's residential market, houses and condos together, needed about 114 days to clear its inventory. Today it needs 173. That is not a supply problem. Active inventory is down 12 percent from last year, 104 homes against 118, and pendings are down 42 percent, 18 against 31. When demand falls faster than supply, the clock stretches. That is the whole story here.

Read that number with some care, because in a town this size it swings. Eighteen homes under contract is a small count, and the same measure read 99 days in the middle of September, when 28 were pending. Ten contracts moved the clock by more than two months. The single-family closings show the same slowing. Homes that closed in September took a median of 28 days to go from active to pending, against 9 in August and 14 a year ago, and closed at a median of 98.7 percent of their last list price, down from 100 percent in August. Supply is 3.5 months against 3.9 a year ago, so there is still less to choose from than last fall. One month of 22 sales is a small sample, but it points the same direction as the pipeline.

The split by price band that usually defines this town narrowed in September. Across all residential, houses and condos together, 26 homes closed under five million dollars at a median of 30 days on market and 98.1 percent of list. Above five million, where the Headlands and the oceanfront live, four homes closed at a median of $9.7M, a median 33 days and 96.9 percent of list. Four sales is a thin sample, and in July that same tier took a median of 127 days, so I would not read September as the new normal. Knowing which tier your home sits in still changes how you price it and how long you plan to wait.

Town by Town

Slower than San Clemente, and closing in on Newport.

Full residential, single-family and condos combined. Expected market time and price cuts are the October 1 snapshot; sale-to-list is September closings under $5M, the band most sales fall in. Six towns, same measures, same month.

City Expected Market Time Price Cuts Sale / List, Under $5M
San Clemente 84 days 43% 100.0%
San Juan Capistrano 117 days 45% 100.3%
Dana Point 173 days 33% 98.1%
Newport Beach 197 days 38% 98.0%
Laguna Beach 213 days 41% 95.0%
Newport Coast 223 days 31% 96.6%

Dana Point works through its supply in about 173 days, third in this peer set behind San Clemente at 84 and San Juan Capistrano at 117, and ahead of Newport Beach at 197, Laguna Beach at 213 and Newport Coast at 223. It carries the second-lowest share of price cuts of the six at 33%, behind only Newport Coast at 31%, against 43% in San Clemente and 45% in San Juan Capistrano. Its September closings under $5M came in at 98.1% of list, though single-month figures swing hard at Dana Point's low transaction counts. Over ten years, values are up +116% in Dana Point, tracking San Clemente's +118% and ahead of Laguna Beach's +92%, with Newport Coast (+133%) and Newport Beach (+123%) leading the group. Every town in the group has roughly doubled in a decade.

Sources: California Regional MLS via InfoSparks (ShowingTime Plus) and Pacific Sotheby's October 2026 Market Report. Ten-year growth per Pacific Sotheby's / Zillow.

Around the Harbor

Five neighborhoods, and the harbor between them.

Dana Point is the harbor town between San Clemente and Laguna Beach, anchored by the harbor, Doheny, and Salt Creek. It is not one market. Where a home sits, up on the Headlands, down in the Lantern District, or south in Capo Beach, changes the buyer, the price, and the pace completely.

Locator map of Dana Point, California, outlining the city and marking its main residential neighborhoods: Capistrano Beach, Dana Point Harbor, Lantern District, Monarch Beach, Niguel Shores, The Headlands. Capistrano Beach Dana Point Harbor Lantern District Monarch Beach Niguel Shores The Headlands Pacific Ocean
Dana Point and the neighborhoods above. City outline from OpenStreetMap, clipped to land; markers are approximate neighborhood centers, not boundaries.
  • The Headlands. The guard-gated, oceanfront top of the market, where The Strand at Headlands regularly trades well into eight figures. This is the segment that takes longer and negotiates harder.
  • Monarch Beach. The resort-adjacent enclave around the Waldorf Astoria and Ritz-Carlton, with golf, Salt Creek Beach, and beach-club access. Stable, high-demand, and view-driven. Monarch Beach prices by enclave.
  • Lantern District. The walkable village above the harbor along Del Prado, the heart of Dana Point dining and the most on-foot lifestyle in town. This is where the harbor revitalization is most visible. Lantern Village prices and the Town Center Plan.
  • Niguel Shores. A guard-gated 1970s community with its own clubhouse, pool, and tennis, plus private access to the Strand beach walkway. Privacy and amenities at a relative value. Niguel Shores and Strand prices.
  • Capistrano Beach (Capo Beach). The quieter, more character-driven south end near Doheny State Beach. A laid-back alternative to the flashier neighborhoods north of the harbor.

Neighborhood-level numbers, beside the city, live on the neighborhoods page.

Keep reading:

The other thing reshaping this town is the roughly $600M harbor revitalization, now visibly under construction and expected to keep building long-term value into the harbor-adjacent neighborhoods. If you want to understand a specific pocket of Dana Point, that is exactly the kind of thing I am happy to walk through with you.

Which side of the Dana Point market is your home actually in?

The Rest of the Coast

Looking up the coast, or down it?

Coastal Currents follows all of it, a different neighborhood every issue. Past issues are here.

Ask me directly

Wondering how the harbor work changes your street?

Dana Point closes about two dozen homes a month, so a citywide median can be one unusual sale away from misleading you. Ask me about your block specifically. Text or email is easiest.